The Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP’s) Legitimacy Crisis and Implications for Taiwan

The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is facing considerable challenges to its legitimacy, which has historically been based on two foundational pillars: the promise of prosperity and the concept of ‘national rejuvenation’ (民族復興), which includes reunification of Taiwan with the Chinese mainland as a vital aspect. The first pillar is evidently faltering amid slowing economic growth … Read more

Will China Move To Occupy Taiwan’s Offshore Islands?

China’s belligerence against Taiwan has undergone a massive shift from occasional military exercises triggered by political developments in Taipei, to a sustained military presence around the island nation in a manner that impinges on Taiwan’s sovereignty but remains or appears far below the threshold of a conflict. At the beginning of this year, the Author … Read more

Understanding Trump’s Seemingly Evolving Stance On Russia-Ukraine War

In what appears to be a dramatic shift in the US President Donald Trump’s position on the Russia-Ukraine war, he recently declared that with proper support Ukraine could retake all of its territory from the Russian military occupation and has agreed to provide the Ukrainian military with targeting intelligence for long-range strikes against Russia’s energy … Read more

Surging Geopolitical Risks In Indian Sub-continent

The Geopolitical dynamics in Indian Subcontinent, particularly after the start of India’s Operation Sindoor aimed at combating Pakistan-sponsored terrorism, have increased the potential for recurring crises in the region. This is an aspect that all stakeholders in this region, both regional and extra-regional, should take into account in their future risk assessments. In a previous … Read more

Ukraine Conflict Update: Shifting Battlefield Dynamics and Prospects For Peace Talks

With Russia having intensified its military operations in east Ukraine in recent months, and the Ukrainian forces struggling to maintain a resilient front against the numerically superior Russian military, the battlefield dynamics are increasingly shifting against Ukraine with the prospects for a negotiated settlement to the Ukraine crisis also becoming bleak. Russia has stepped up … Read more

Operation Sindoor Heralds A New Era Of Indian Deterrence Against Pakistan

India’s Operation Sindoor is probably the most meaningful action the country has taken to combat Pakistan-sponsored terrorism, as it appears to be aimed not just at reinstating deterrence against Pakistan but also maintaining it for the future. On the intervening night of May 6th and 7th, India launched its most extensive cross-border strikes inside Pakistan … Read more