Red Sea Shipping Faces Fresh Security Risks from Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen

Explosions on Liberia-flagged, Greek-operated vessel Magic Seas in Red Sea

Fresh signs of a deteriorating security landscape in Yemen are raising concerns that commercial shipping through the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb Strait could once again come under threat. Although the Iran-backed Yemeni Houthi movement largely stayed out of the latest Iran-related conflict, recent political, military and tribal developments inside Yemen suggest the risk of … Read more

Lebanon on Brink? Hezbollah Threatens Civil War Over US-Backed Plan to Disarm Non-State Armed Groups

A U.S.-brokered framework agreement between Israel and Lebanon has triggered sharp opposition from Hezbollah, with the Iran-backed armed group warning that any attempt to forcibly disarm non-state factions could plunge Lebanon into another civil war, underscoring the fragile path toward ending decades of conflict along the Israel-Lebanon border. The agreement, announced in Washington on June … Read more

Unravelling Geopolitics Warned of This 16 Months Ago: China’s Coast Guard Targeted Commercial Shipping East of Taiwan in early June

China Coast Guard vessels off Huangyan Dao in South China Sea on July 8th, 2024.

China’s recent attempt to exercise coast guard authority over foreign commercial shipping east of Taiwan has triggered international concern and prompted Taiwan to rehearse responses to a potential maritime blockade, highlighting Beijing’s evolving form of pressure campaign against the island nation. The episode began earlier this month when China dispatched its coast guard vessels to … Read more

China Detains 2 Japanese Nationals in Rare Earth Smuggling Case, Exposing Growing Geopolitical Risks for Japanese Businesses

Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara

China’s detention of two Japanese nationals over alleged attempts to export restricted rare earth-related materials has added a new flashpoint to an already deteriorating relationship between Asia’s two largest economies, underscoring how critical mineral supply chains have become increasingly intertwined with national security, industrial policy and geopolitical competition. Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara said … Read more

Why Russia Should Be Worried About Britain’s £400,000 Missile Programme for Ukraine

Britain’s effort to rapidly develop a new family of low-cost long-range strike missiles for Ukraine under its Project Brakestop should raise alarm bells in Moscow due to their potential to significantly alter the battlefield dynamics for the Russian armed forces operating in Ukraine. Launched in late 2024, the Project Brakestop of the British Ministry of … Read more

Britain’s New U.S.-Proof Missiles For Ukraine Could Supercharge Europe’s Rearmament

MBDA One Way Effector (OWE) CROSSBOWâ„¢ missile

Britain is accelerating the development of a new generation of low-cost, long-range strike weapons for Ukraine that are designed to operate without U.S. components or data dependencies, reflecting a broader European push to strengthen strategic autonomy in the military domain amid uncertainty over future American support. Three British-developed systems, produced by defence companies MBDA UK, … Read more

China Unveils Maritime Spatial Plan to Expand Its Presence in Waters around Taiwan

China's Xiangyanghong 22 sailing in restricted waters northeast of Taiwan.

China is laying the groundwork for long-term maritime spatial planning and resource management in waters east of Taiwan, according to a state media report published on June 18th, in what can be described as another line of Beijing’s effort to actively contest the island-nation’s maritime jurisdiction. The report, published by Chinese state-affiliated outlet Yuyuan Tantian … Read more

China’s Tungsten Squeeze Is Triggering a Global Scramble to Rebuild Critical Supply Chains for the Semiconductor Industry

China’s tightening grip over tungsten exports has become the latest illustration of the geopolitical risks embedded within modern technology supply chains by underscoring a critical vulnerability across a supply chain that spans from Japanese chemical producers to the world’s largest semiconductor manufacturers. Tungsten rarely attracts public attention, but it is one of the world’s most … Read more

Europe Prepares for a Future With Fewer Fighter Jets—and More AI ‘Wingmen’

Concept art of Airbus Ravenstorm drone in flight, featuring a design similar to US and Australian loyal wingman drones

European countries are increasingly shifting attention from traditional fighter jets to AI-enabled ‘wingman’ aircraft in their accelerated rearmament drive, as governments across Europe confront decades of declining combat aircraft inventories and mounting concerns over their ability to sustain high-intensity warfare without extensive U.S. support. At last week’s Berlin Air Show, a new generation of unmanned … Read more

China Expands Its East China Sea Oil and Gas Footprint, Deepening Tensions With Japan

China's jack-up rig and support vessels operating near the China-Japan East China Sea joint development zone, April 5, 2026

China is steadily expanding its oil and gas activities in the East China Sea, adding new offshore platforms, exploratory drilling operations, and geological surveys near disputed waters also claimed by Japan. The developments, which Tokyo views as part of a broader effort to establish a sustained Chinese presence across strategically important maritime spaces, come amid … Read more